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Meridian · Country Risk Intelligence

Marshall

A living picture of where global risk is concentrating — updated continuously, built for the people who have to act on it.

Active · Beta · WEF 33 Global Risk Categories
Mali
West Africa · Updated 6h ago
71
Overall Risk
State Fragility
88
Infectious Disease
74
Armed Conflict
82
Food Security
79
Displacement
68
Trend: ↑ +4pts 30d · State Fragility accelerating · 3 active alerts
Overview

The WEF Global Risks Report is published once a year. Global risk does not pause between editions. Marshall doesn't either.

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Risk intelligence that
moves with the world.

Marshall is a continuously updated country risk scoring system that assesses national vulnerability across a structured subset of the WEF's 33 global risk categories. Economic instability, state fragility, infectious disease burden, food insecurity, armed conflict exposure, displacement pressure, and institutional resilience — scored, weighted, and updated as conditions change.

The WEF Global Risks Report is the best annual snapshot available. Marshall makes it a living document. When a coup attempt fails in a monitored country, Marshall's political stability score updates within hours. When a regional disease cluster appears in Snow's feed, it flows into Marshall's infectious disease dimension. When sanctions regimes shift, the economic vulnerability scores recalibrate.

Built for the people who actually have to make decisions under uncertainty — not the people who write reports about decisions, but the policy makers, NGO directors, economists, researchers, and institutional leaders who need to know where risk is concentrating and why, right now.

Risk Dimensions

Calibrated across
five domains.

Geopolitical
State Fragility & Conflict Exposure
Governance quality, institutional resilience, armed conflict proximity, territorial control, and alliance stability. Draws on political risk indicators, conflict databases, and real-time reporting from Snow.
Societal
Infectious Disease & Humanitarian
Disease burden, healthcare system capacity, displacement pressure, food insecurity, and access to basic services. Integrates Snow's threat detection feed for leading-indicator updates.
Economic
Financial Vulnerability & Trade Exposure
Debt sustainability, currency stability, trade dependency, sanctions exposure, supply chain fragility, and access to capital markets. Updated from financial data sources and economic reporting.
Environmental
Climate & Natural Resource Risk
Climate vulnerability, water and food security trends, natural disaster exposure, and resource dependency. Draws on environmental monitoring data and agricultural indicators.
Technological
Cyber Exposure & AI Governance
Critical infrastructure vulnerability, cyber incident history, digital governance capacity, and exposure to AI-enabled influence operations and misinformation ecosystems.
Institutional
Epistemic & Information Environment
Media freedom, information quality, disinformation vulnerability, and institutional trust. Draws on Cronkite domain trust data for information environment assessment alongside traditional press freedom indices.
Built For

Decision-makers who
can't wait.

Policy & Government
Policy Makers & Diplomatic Staff
Real-time country risk context for bilateral and multilateral engagement decisions, aid allocation, and sanctions assessment. Marshall provides the living intelligence layer that point-in-time reports cannot.
Humanitarian
NGOs & International Organizations
Pre-positioning intelligence for humanitarian response — understanding where risk is concentrating before crises mature, enabling earlier preparation and more effective resource allocation.
Research & Analysis
Researchers & Economists
Longitudinal country risk data for academic research, economic modeling, and policy analysis. Structured, documented methodology with transparent data sourcing for citation and replication.
Defense & Security
Defense Planners & Security Analysts
Open-source country risk intelligence for force protection, operational planning, and threat environment assessment — all from unclassified, documentable sources with transparent methodology.
Named For

"Our policy is directed not against any country or doctrine but against hunger, poverty, desperation, and chaos."

George C. Marshall, Harvard Commencement Address, 1947

George Marshall served as US Army Chief of Staff through World War II, then as Secretary of State under Truman. In 1947, he proposed what became the European Recovery Program — the Marshall Plan — which directed $13 billion in American aid toward rebuilding Western Europe's devastated economies.

The Marshall Plan worked not because of its generosity but because of its analytical rigor. Before disbursing aid, Marshall's State Department assessed which countries needed what, in what sequence, with what institutional conditions attached. It was risk intelligence applied to reconstruction at continental scale.

Marshall the product is named for that tradition: intelligence in service of resilience. Not threat assessment for its own sake, but risk understanding oriented toward the question of what to do about it and where to direct resources to reduce human suffering most effectively.

Now Available

217 country profiles.
One living database.

The Marshall Country Resilience Database scores 217 countries across five domains — Societal, Economic, Geopolitical, Technological, and Environmental — anchored to the WEF Global Risks Framework. Each profile includes raw indicator data, normalized scores, domain interpretations, and sensitivity analysis.

Explore Country Profiles Read the Methodology
217
Countries
73
Indicators
5
Domains
33
WEF Subdomains
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The full portfolio.

Epistemic Infrastructure
Cronkite
Real-time epistemic scoring for any web content. Five-model AI ensemble. Crowdsourced domain trust database. The ambient immune system the information environment never had.
Open-Source Threat Surveillance
Snow
AI-driven monitoring of global news and media to detect infectious disease outbreaks, CBRN incidents, and humanitarian crises before institutional response becomes reactive.

Meridian Technologies is the independent research and applied-technology project of Mark Greenhalgh. Views, analysis, and materials published under the Meridian name are his own and do not represent the position of the U.S. Department of Defense, the Department of the Army, or any U.S. government agency or component. Meridian operates independently of his official duties.

Meridian Technologies is the independent research and applied-technology project of Mark Greenhalgh. Views, analysis, and materials published under the Meridian name are his own and do not represent the position of the U.S. Department of Defense, the Department of the Army, or any U.S. government agency or component. Meridian operates independently of his official duties.